Süper Lig title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Galatasaray lead the title race at 43%. Trabzonspor 4–0 Galatasaray moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Fenerbahce9%29%+20 pts
Trabzonspor4%13%+9 pts
Amed SFK<1%1%+1 pt
Down
Galatasaray69%43%−26 pts
Besiktas18%12%−6 pts
Fenerbahce beat Eyupspor 8–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 9% to 29%. Galatasaray lost 4–0 at Trabzonspor, and their title chances fell from 69% to 43%. Galatasaray lead the title race at 43%.
Champions League
Up
- Fenerbahce33%56%+23 pts
- Trabzonspor17%34%+17 pts
Istanbul BB2%3%+1 pt
Down
- Besiktas53%30%−23 pts
- Galatasaray89%69%−20 pts
Kasimpasa1%<1%−1 pt
Fenerbahce beat Eyupspor 8–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 33% to 56%. Besiktas lost 3–2 at Amed SFK, and their Champions League chances fell from 53% to 30%.
Relegation
Up
Eyupspor71%87%+16 pts
Genclerbirli27%34%+7 pts
Samsunspor26%33%+7 pts
Down
Erzurum76%58%−18 pts
Konyaspor41%33%−8 pts
Kocaelispor7%2%−5 pts
Eyupspor lost 8–0 at Fenerbahce, and their relegation chances rose from 71% to 87%. Erzurum beat Samsunspor 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 76% to 58%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Trabzonspor 4–0 Galatasaray moved the odds the most. Trabzonspor beat Galatasaray 4–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 17% to 34%. Galatasaray lost 4–0 at Trabzonspor, and their title chances fell from 69% to 43%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Galatasaray
- Fenerbahce
- Trabzonspor
- Besiktas
- Amed SFK
Show as a table
| Round | Galatasaray | Fenerbahce | Trabzonspor | Besiktas | Amed SFK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 21% | 7% | 10% | <1% |
| 2 | 55% | 20% | 10% | 3% | 0% |
| 3 | 53% | 31% | 3% | 7% | <1% |
| 4 | 65% | 12% | 9% | 12% | <1% |
| 5 | 69% | 9% | 4% | 18% | <1% |
| 6 | 43% | 29% | 13% | 12% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amed SFKAmed SFK | 13 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+1 pt | 1%−2 pts |
| 2 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 13 | 43%−26 pts | 69%−20 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 12 | 12%−6 pts | 30%−23 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | KocaelisporKocaelispor | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 2%−5 pts |
| 5 |  AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 11 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+1 pt | 1%−2 pts |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 10 | 13%+9 pts | 34%+17 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 6%−1 pt |
| 8 | FenerbahceFenerbahce | 10 | 29%+20 pts | 56%+23 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%−1 pt |
| 10 |  GaziantepGaziantep FK | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 12%+4 pts |
| 11 | Istanbul BBIstanbul Basaksehir | 7 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+1 pt | 1%−2 pts |
| 12 | GenclerbirliGenclerbirligi | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%+7 pts |
| 13 | ErzurumErzurum BB | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 58%−18 pts |
| 14 |  Çorum FKÇorum FK | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%+5 pts |
| 15 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%−8 pts |
| 16 | SamsunsporSamsunspor | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+7 pts |
| 17 |  GoztepeGoztepe | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%+2 pts |
| 18 | EyupsporEyupspor | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 87%+16 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.