Süper Lig title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 7 September 2026
Galatasaray lead the title race at 65%. Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Galatasaray53%65%+12 pts
Trabzonspor3%9%+6 pts
Besiktas7%12%+5 pts
Down
Fenerbahce31%12%−19 pts
Istanbul BB4%2%−2 pts
Samsunspor1%<1%−1 pt
Galatasaray won 3–2 at Istanbul BB, and their title chances rose from 53% to 65%. Fenerbahce lost 2–1 to Besiktas at home, and their title chances fell from 31% to 12%. Galatasaray lead the title race at 65%.
Champions League
Up
- Trabzonspor12%28%+16 pts
- Besiktas21%36%+15 pts
- Galatasaray79%85%+6 pts
Down
- Fenerbahce63%37%−26 pts
- Istanbul BB16%9%−7 pts
Goztepe2%<1%−2 pts
Trabzonspor beat Genclerbirli 5–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 12% to 28%. Fenerbahce lost 2–1 to Besiktas at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 63% to 37%.
Relegation
Up
Eyupspor35%55%+20 pts
Konyaspor42%57%+15 pts
Genclerbirli5%15%+10 pts
Eyupspor lost 3–0 at Çorum FK, and their relegation chances rose from 35% to 55%. Çorum FK beat Eyupspor 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 57% to 32%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas moved the odds the most. Fenerbahce lost 2–1 to Besiktas at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 63% to 37%. Besiktas won 2–1 at Fenerbahce, and their Champions League chances rose from 21% to 36%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Galatasaray
- Besiktas
- Fenerbahce
- Trabzonspor
- Istanbul BB
Show as a table
| Round | Galatasaray | Besiktas | Fenerbahce | Trabzonspor | Istanbul BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 10% | 21% | 7% | 20% |
| 2 | 55% | 3% | 20% | 10% | 9% |
| 3 | 53% | 7% | 31% | 3% | 4% |
| 4 | 65% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 10 | 65%+12 pts | 85%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | BesiktasBesiktas | 9 | 12%+5 pts | 36%+15 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  KocaelisporKocaelispor | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 5%−5 pts |
| 4 |  Amed SFKAmed SFK | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−2 pts |
| 5 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 7 | 9%+6 pts | 28%+16 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  GaziantepGaziantep FK | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 9%−14 pts |
| 7 |  AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 7 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 2%−3 pts |
| 8 | GenclerbirliGenclerbirligi | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 15%+10 pts |
| 9 | FenerbahceFenerbahce | 6 | 12%−19 pts | 37%−26 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  KasimpasaKasimpasa | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%±0 |
| 11 |  Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 10%+4 pts |
| 12 | Istanbul BBIstanbul Basaksehir | 4 | 2%−2 pts | 9%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 | SamsunsporSamsunspor | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 8%+4 pts |
| 14 |  Çorum FKÇorum FK | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%−25 pts |
| 15 |  ErzurumErzurum BB | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 66%−12 pts |
| 16 | EyupsporEyupspor | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%+20 pts |
| 17 | GoztepeGoztepe | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 12%+8 pts |
| 18 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 57%+15 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.