Süper Lig title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 14 September 2026
Galatasaray lead the title race at 69%. Samsunspor 1–5 Çorum FK moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Besiktas12%18%+6 pts
Galatasaray65%69%+4 pts
Down
Trabzonspor9%4%−5 pts
Fenerbahce12%9%−3 pts
Istanbul BB2%<1%−2 pts
Besiktas beat Erzurum 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 12% to 18%. Trabzonspor lost 1–0 at Konyaspor, and their title chances fell from 9% to 4%. Galatasaray lead the title race at 69%.
Champions League
Up
- Besiktas36%53%+17 pts
- Galatasaray85%89%+4 pts
Amed SFK<1%2%+2 pts
Down
- Trabzonspor28%17%−11 pts
- Istanbul BB9%2%−7 pts
- Fenerbahce37%33%−4 pts
Besiktas beat Erzurum 3–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 36% to 53%. Trabzonspor lost 1–0 at Konyaspor, and their Champions League chances fell from 28% to 17%.
Relegation
Up
Samsunspor8%26%+18 pts
Eyupspor55%71%+16 pts
Genclerbirli15%27%+12 pts
Samsunspor lost 5–1 to Çorum FK at home, and their relegation chances rose from 8% to 26%. Çorum FK won 5–1 at Samsunspor, and their relegation chances fell from 32% to 10%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Samsunspor 1–5 Çorum FK moved the odds the most. Samsunspor lost 5–1 to Çorum FK at home, and their relegation chances rose from 8% to 26%. Çorum FK won 5–1 at Samsunspor, and their relegation chances fell from 32% to 10%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Galatasaray
- Besiktas
- Fenerbahce
- Trabzonspor
- Istanbul BB
Show as a table
| Round | Galatasaray | Besiktas | Fenerbahce | Trabzonspor | Istanbul BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 10% | 21% | 7% | 20% |
| 2 | 55% | 3% | 20% | 10% | 9% |
| 3 | 53% | 7% | 31% | 3% | 4% |
| 4 | 65% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | 69% | 18% | 9% | 4% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 13 | 69%+4 pts | 89%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | BesiktasBesiktas | 12 | 18%+6 pts | 53%+17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Amed SFKAmed SFK | 10 | <1%±0 | 2%+2 pts | 3%−12 pts |
| 4 |  KasimpasaKasimpasa | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 7%−7 pts |
| 5 |  Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−6 pts |
| 6 |  KocaelisporKocaelispor | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 7%+2 pts |
| 7 |  GaziantepGaziantep FK | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 8%−1 pt |
| 8 |  AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 8 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 9 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 7 | 4%−5 pts | 17%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 | GenclerbirliGenclerbirligi | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 27%+12 pts |
| 11 |  Çorum FKÇorum FK | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%−22 pts |
| 12 | FenerbahceFenerbahce | 7 | 9%−3 pts | 33%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 13 | Istanbul BBIstanbul Basaksehir | 4 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−7 pts | 3%+3 pts |
| 14 | SamsunsporSamsunspor | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 26%+18 pts |
| 15 |  ErzurumErzurum BB | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%+10 pts |
| 16 |  KonyasporKonyaspor | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 41%−16 pts |
| 17 | EyupsporEyupspor | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 71%+16 pts |
| 18 |  GoztepeGoztepe | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.