MLS Cup 2026 odds
Vancouver win the MLS Cup in 26% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Nashville (21%) and Inter Miami (11%).
Every club's MLS Cup chances
- 1
Vancouver Whitecaps1st · 61 pts26% - 2
Nashville SC1st · 74 pts21% - 3
Inter Miami CF2nd · 59 pts11% - 4
Chicago Fire FC4th · 55 pts6% - 5
FC Dallas2nd · 55 pts6% - 6
LAFC6th · 47 pts5% - 7
Philadelphia Union6th · 47 pts5% - 8
New England Revolution3rd · 58 pts4% - 9
San Jose Earthquakes3rd · 52 pts4% - 10
Charlotte FC5th · 53 pts3% - 11
St. Louis City SC4th · 51 pts3% - 12
Houston Dynamo FC5th · 51 pts2% - 13
Columbus Crew8th · 44 pts1% - 14
FC Cincinnati7th · 46 pts1% - 15
Portland Timbers8th · 43 pts1% - 16
Seattle Sounders FC10th · 43 pts1% - 17
Real Salt Lake11th · 42 pts<1% - 18
Colorado Rapids9th · 43 pts<1% - 19
LA Galaxy7th · 44 pts<1% - 20
Orlando City SC9th · 43 pts<1% - 21
Minnesota United FC12th · 41 pts<1%
9 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More MLS chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will win the MLS Cup 2026?
Vancouver win the MLS Cup in 26% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Nashville (21%) and Inter Miami (11%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the MLS season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the MLS Cup.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.