MLS 2026 play-off odds
Vancouver reach the play-offs in 100% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Nashville (100%) and Dallas (100%).
Every club's play-off chances
- 1
Vancouver Whitecaps1st · 61 pts100% - 2
Nashville SC1st · 74 pts100% - 3
FC Dallas2nd · 55 pts100% - 4
Inter Miami CF2nd · 59 pts100% - 5
New England Revolution3rd · 58 pts100% - 6
San Jose Earthquakes3rd · 52 pts100% - 7
Chicago Fire FC4th · 55 pts100% - 8
St. Louis City SC4th · 51 pts100% - 9
Houston Dynamo FC5th · 51 pts100% - 10
Charlotte FC5th · 53 pts100% - 11
LAFC6th · 47 pts100% - 12
Philadelphia Union6th · 47 pts99% - 13
FC Cincinnati7th · 46 pts68% - 14
LA Galaxy7th · 44 pts30% - 15
Portland Timbers8th · 43 pts28% - 16
Columbus Crew8th · 44 pts19% - 17
Real Salt Lake11th · 42 pts15% - 18
Orlando City SC9th · 43 pts14% - 19
Colorado Rapids9th · 43 pts14% - 20
Seattle Sounders FC10th · 43 pts13%
10 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More MLS chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will reach the MLS 2026 play-offs?
Vancouver reach the play-offs in 100% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Nashville (100%) and Dallas (100%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the MLS season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it reaches the play-offs.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.