Foot Simu
MLS 2026

Philadelphia Union's chances of winning the MLS Cup 2026

Chance of winning the MLS Cup
5%
Position
6th
47 pts · 33 games
Likely finish
6th

Philadelphia Union are 6th in the Eastern Conference with 47 points from 33 games.

Philadelphia win the MLS Cup in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 6th (84% of seasons), averaging 49 points.

MLS Cup: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Vancouver Whitecaps1st · 61 pts26%
  2. 2Nashville SC1st · 74 pts21%
  3. 3Inter Miami CF2nd · 59 pts11%
  4. 4Chicago Fire FC4th · 55 pts6%
  5. 5FC Dallas2nd · 55 pts6%
  6. 6LAFC6th · 47 pts5%
  7. 7Philadelphia Union6th · 47 pts5%
  8. 8New England Revolution3rd · 58 pts4%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's MLS Cup chances

More on Philadelphia

Frequently asked questions

What are Philadelphia Union's chances of winning the MLS Cup?

Philadelphia win the MLS Cup in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Philadelphia Union are 6th in the Eastern Conference with 47 points from 33 games.

Where will Philadelphia Union finish?

Their likely finish is 6th (84% of seasons), averaging 49 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the MLS season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the MLS Cup.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.