Chicago Fire FC's chances of winning the MLS Cup 2026
- Chance of winning the MLS Cup
- 6%
- Position
- 4th
- 55 pts · 33 games
- Likely finish
- 4th
Chicago Fire FC are 4th in the Eastern Conference with 55 points from 33 games.
Chicago win the MLS Cup in 6% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 4th (88% of seasons), averaging 57 points.
MLS Cup: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Vancouver Whitecaps1st · 61 pts26% - 2
Nashville SC1st · 74 pts21% - 3
Inter Miami CF2nd · 59 pts11% - 4Chicago Fire FC4th · 55 pts6%
- 5
FC Dallas2nd · 55 pts6% - 6
LAFC6th · 47 pts5% - 7
Philadelphia Union6th · 47 pts5% - 8
New England Revolution3rd · 58 pts4%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's MLS Cup chancesMore on Chicago
Frequently asked questions
What are Chicago Fire FC's chances of winning the MLS Cup?
Chicago win the MLS Cup in 6% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Chicago Fire FC are 4th in the Eastern Conference with 55 points from 33 games.
Where will Chicago Fire FC finish?
Their likely finish is 4th (88% of seasons), averaging 57 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the MLS season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the MLS Cup.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.