Foot Simu
MLS 2026

Portland Timbers's chances of winning the MLS Cup 2026

Chance of winning the MLS Cup
1%
Position
8th
43 pts · 33 games
Likely finish
7th–10th

Portland Timbers are 8th in the Western Conference with 43 points from 33 games.

Portland win the MLS Cup in 1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 7th–10th (81% of seasons), averaging 44 points.

MLS Cup: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Vancouver Whitecaps1st · 61 pts26%
  2. 2Nashville SC1st · 74 pts21%
  3. 3Inter Miami CF2nd · 59 pts11%
  4. 4Chicago Fire FC4th · 55 pts6%
  5. 5FC Dallas2nd · 55 pts6%
  6. 6LAFC6th · 47 pts5%
  7. 7Philadelphia Union6th · 47 pts5%
  8. 8New England Revolution3rd · 58 pts4%
  9. 9Portland Timbers8th · 43 pts1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's MLS Cup chances

More on Portland

Frequently asked questions

What are Portland Timbers's chances of winning the MLS Cup?

Portland win the MLS Cup in 1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Portland Timbers are 8th in the Western Conference with 43 points from 33 games.

Where will Portland Timbers finish?

Their likely finish is 7th–10th (81% of seasons), averaging 44 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the MLS season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the MLS Cup.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.