San Jose Earthquakes's chances of winning the MLS Cup 2026
- Chance of winning the MLS Cup
- 4%
- Position
- 3rd
- 52 pts · 33 games
- Likely finish
- 3rd–4th
San Jose Earthquakes are 3rd in the Western Conference with 52 points from 33 games.
San Jose win the MLS Cup in 4% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 3rd–4th (93% of seasons), averaging 53 points.
MLS Cup: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Vancouver Whitecaps1st · 61 pts26% - 2
Nashville SC1st · 74 pts21% - 3
Inter Miami CF2nd · 59 pts11% - 4
Chicago Fire FC4th · 55 pts6% - 5
FC Dallas2nd · 55 pts6% - 6
LAFC6th · 47 pts5% - 7
Philadelphia Union6th · 47 pts5% - 8
New England Revolution3rd · 58 pts4% - 9San Jose Earthquakes3rd · 52 pts4%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's MLS Cup chancesMore on San Jose
Frequently asked questions
What are San Jose Earthquakes's chances of winning the MLS Cup?
San Jose win the MLS Cup in 4% of 10,000 simulated seasons. San Jose Earthquakes are 3rd in the Western Conference with 52 points from 33 games.
Where will San Jose Earthquakes finish?
Their likely finish is 3rd–4th (93% of seasons), averaging 53 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the MLS season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the MLS Cup.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.