Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 11

After the games up to 2 November 2026Latest

St. Étienne lead the title race at 51%. Guingamp 3–0 St. Étienne moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Montpellier11%29%+18 pts
Reims8%17%+9 pts
Nancy<1%2%+2 pts

Down

St. Étienne79%51%−28 pts
Annecy1%<1%−1 pt
Red Star1%<1%−1 pt

Montpellier won 3–0 at Annecy, and their title chances rose from 11% to 29%. St. Étienne lost 3–0 at Guingamp, and their title chances fell from 79% to 51%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 51%.

Promotion

Montpellier45%62%+17 pts
Reims38%43%+5 pts
Nancy3%8%+5 pts

Down

St. Étienne93%78%−15 pts
Red Star7%2%−5 pts
Annecy6%2%−4 pts

Montpellier won 3–0 at Annecy, and their promotion chances rose from 45% to 62%. St. Étienne lost 3–0 at Guingamp, and their promotion chances fell from 93% to 78%.

Relegation

Grenoble31%46%+15 pts
Sochaux21%30%+9 pts
Boulogne13%20%+7 pts

Down

Laval73%57%−16 pts
Guingamp7%1%−6 pts
Rodez7%3%−4 pts

Grenoble lost 3–1 to Dijon at home, and their relegation chances rose from 31% to 46%. Laval beat Boulogne 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 73% to 57%.

Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Guingamp

3–0

Saint-Étienne

Guingamp 3–0 St. Étienne moved the odds the most. Guingamp beat St. Étienne 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 7% to 1%. St. Étienne lost 3–0 at Guingamp, and their title chances fell from 79% to 51%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

St. Étienne
Montpellier
Reims
Nancy
Pau

Show as a table

Round	St. Étienne	Montpellier	Reims	Nancy	Pau
1	32%	3%	10%	<1%	<1%
2	42%	5%	6%	<1%	<1%
3	62%	7%	9%	<1%	<1%
4	66%	4%	19%	<1%	<1%
5	77%	1%	10%	<1%	<1%
6	67%	2%	19%	<1%	<1%
7	67%	3%	18%	<1%	<1%
8	73%	5%	12%	<1%	<1%
9	75%	8%	13%	<1%	<1%
10	79%	11%	8%	<1%	<1%
11	51%	29%	17%	2%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	St. ÉtienneSaint-Étienne	25	51%−28 pts	78%−15 pts	0%±0
2	MontpellierMontpellier	24	29%+18 pts	62%+17 pts	0%±0
3	NancyAS Nancy Lorraine	22	2%+2 pts	8%+5 pts	<1%±0
4	ReimsStade de Reims	21	17%+9 pts	43%+5 pts	0%±0
5	PauPau	20	1%+1 pt	3%+2 pts	<1%−1 pt
6	Red StarRed Star	17	<1%−1 pt	2%−5 pts	<1%±0
7	AnnecyAnnecy	16	<1%−1 pt	2%−4 pts	<1%±0
8	DijonDijon	15	<1%±0	<1%±0	3%−4 pts
9	GuingampGuingamp	14	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−6 pts
10	MetzMetz	14	<1%−1 pt	1%−4 pts	1%+1 pt
11	RodezRodez	13	<1%±0	<1%±0	3%−4 pts
12	DunkerqueDunkerque	12	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	2%+1 pt
13	SochauxSochaux	11	0%±0	0%±0	30%+9 pts
14	BoulogneBoulogne	10	0%±0	0%±0	20%+7 pts
15	NantesNantes	9	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%+1 pt
16	LavalLaval	9	0%±0	0%±0	57%−16 pts
17	Clermont FootClermont Foot	8	0%±0	0%±0	31%−2 pts
18	GrenobleGrenoble	8	0%±0	0%±0	46%+15 pts

Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.

Round	St. Étienne	Montpellier	Reims	Nancy	Pau
1	32%	3%	10%	<1%	<1%
2	42%	5%	6%	<1%	<1%
3	62%	7%	9%	<1%	<1%
4	66%	4%	19%	<1%	<1%
5	77%	1%	10%	<1%	<1%
6	67%	2%	19%	<1%	<1%
7	67%	3%	18%	<1%	<1%
8	73%	5%	12%	<1%	<1%
9	75%	8%	13%	<1%	<1%
10	79%	11%	8%	<1%	<1%
11	51%	29%	17%	2%	1%

Round	St. Étienne	Montpellier	Reims	Nancy	Pau
1	32%	3%	10%	<1%	<1%
2	42%	5%	6%	<1%	<1%
3	62%	7%	9%	<1%	<1%
4	66%	4%	19%	<1%	<1%
5	77%	1%	10%	<1%	<1%
6	67%	2%	19%	<1%	<1%
7	67%	3%	18%	<1%	<1%
8	73%	5%	12%	<1%	<1%
9	75%	8%	13%	<1%	<1%
10	79%	11%	8%	<1%	<1%
11	51%	29%	17%	2%	1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	St. Étienne	Montpellier	Reims	Nancy	Pau
1	32%	3%	10%	<1%	<1%
2	42%	5%	6%	<1%	<1%
3	62%	7%	9%	<1%	<1%
4	66%	4%	19%	<1%	<1%
5	77%	1%	10%	<1%	<1%
6	67%	2%	19%	<1%	<1%
7	67%	3%	18%	<1%	<1%
8	73%	5%	12%	<1%	<1%
9	75%	8%	13%	<1%	<1%
10	79%	11%	8%	<1%	<1%
11	51%	29%	17%	2%	1%