Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 7 September 2026
St. Étienne lead the title race at 77%. St. Étienne 3–1 Montpellier moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
St. Étienne66%77%+11 pts
Metz4%6%+2 pts
Red Star<1%1%+1 pt
Down
Reims19%10%−9 pts
Montpellier4%1%−3 pts
Rodez3%1%−2 pts
St. Étienne beat Montpellier 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 66% to 77%. Reims drew 2–2 with Guingamp at home, and their title chances fell from 19% to 10%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 77%.
Promotion
Up
- Metz14%28%+14 pts
- St. Étienne85%91%+6 pts
Annecy15%21%+6 pts
Down
- Reims50%38%−12 pts
- Montpellier15%7%−8 pts
- Rodez11%5%−6 pts
Metz beat Rodez 4–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 14% to 28%. Reims drew 2–2 with Guingamp at home, and their promotion chances fell from 50% to 38%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
St. Étienne 3–1 Montpellier moved the odds the most. St. Étienne beat Montpellier 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 66% to 77%. Montpellier lost 3–1 at St. Étienne, and their promotion chances fell from 15% to 7%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- St. Étienne
- Reims
- Metz
- Annecy
- Montpellier
Show as a table
| Round | St. Étienne | Reims | Metz | Annecy | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 10% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| 2 | 42% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 5% |
| 3 | 62% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| 4 | 66% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 5 | 77% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. ÉtienneSaint-Étienne | 15 | 77%+11 pts | 91%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | AnnecyAnnecy | 10 | 4%±0 | 21%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | ReimsStade de Reims | 9 | 10%−9 pts | 38%−12 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | MetzMetz | 9 | 6%+2 pts | 28%+14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | MontpellierMontpellier | 8 | 1%−3 pts | 7%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | Red StarRed Star | 8 | 1%+1 pt | 4%+2 pts | 1%−1 pt |
| 7 |  NancyAS Nancy Lorraine | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 9%+3 pts |
| 8 | RodezRodez | 7 | 1%−2 pts | 5%−6 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 9 |  SochauxSochaux | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%−3 pts |
| 10 |  DunkerqueDunkerque | 5 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−2 pts | 2%±0 |
| 11 |  GuingampGuingamp | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 7%−4 pts |
| 12 |  PauPau | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+2 pts |
| 13 |  BoulogneBoulogne | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 27%−1 pt |
| 14 |  Clermont FootClermont Foot | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%−3 pts |
| 15 |  NantesNantes | 4 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 3%−2 pts |
| 16 |  GrenobleGrenoble | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%+3 pts |
| 17 |  LavalLaval | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 45%+7 pts |
| 18 |  DijonDijon | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 36%−3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.