Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 19 October 2026
St. Étienne lead the title race at 75%. Grenoble 0–2 Boulogne moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Montpellier5%8%+3 pts
St. Étienne73%75%+2 pts
Reims12%13%+1 pt
Montpellier won 3–0 at Rodez, and their title chances rose from 5% to 8%. Red Star lost 1–0 to St. Étienne at home, and their title chances fell from 6% to 2%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 75%.
Promotion
Up
Montpellier21%34%+13 pts
Reims42%46%+4 pts
St. Étienne90%92%+2 pts
Montpellier won 3–0 at Rodez, and their promotion chances rose from 21% to 34%. Red Star lost 1–0 to St. Étienne at home, and their promotion chances fell from 25% to 13%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Grenoble 0–2 Boulogne moved the odds the most. Grenoble lost 2–0 to Boulogne at home, and their relegation chances rose from 15% to 28%. Boulogne won 2–0 at Grenoble, and their relegation chances fell from 38% to 17%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- St. Étienne
- Reims
- Montpellier
- Red Star
- Metz
Show as a table
| Round | St. Étienne | Reims | Montpellier | Red Star | Metz |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 15% |
| 2 | 42% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| 3 | 62% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 5% |
| 4 | 66% | 19% | 4% | <1% | 4% |
| 5 | 77% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 | 67% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| 7 | 67% | 18% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| 8 | 73% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 1% |
| 9 | 75% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 75%+2 pts | 92%+2 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 18 | 8%+3 pts | 34%+13 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 17 | 13%+1 pt | 46%+4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 4 | 17 | 2%−4 pts | 13%−12 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 16 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 1%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%−4 pts | |
| 7 | 13 | 1%±0 | 7%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 8 | 13 | <1%−2 pts | 3%−7 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 9 | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 11 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 1%−3 pts | |
| 11 | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%+2 pts | |
| 12 | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 17%−21 pts | |
| 13 | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+6 pts | |
| 14 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts | |
| 15 | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%+13 pts | |
| 16 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 22%−1 pt | |
| 17 | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%+7 pts | |
| 18 | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.