Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 31 August 2026
St. Étienne lead the title race at 66%. Red Star 1–4 Reims moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Reims9%19%+10 pts
St. Étienne62%66%+4 pts
Down
Rodez7%3%−4 pts
Montpellier7%4%−3 pts
Dunkerque3%1%−2 pts
Reims won 4–1 at Red Star, and their title chances rose from 9% to 19%. Rodez drew 2–2 with Pau at home, and their title chances fell from 7% to 3%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 66%.
Promotion
Up
Reims26%50%+24 pts
St. Étienne80%85%+5 pts
Nancy<1%1%+1 pt
Down
Rodez20%11%−9 pts
Red Star9%2%−7 pts
Montpellier21%15%−6 pts
Reims won 4–1 at Red Star, and their promotion chances rose from 26% to 50%. Rodez drew 2–2 with Pau at home, and their promotion chances fell from 20% to 11%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Red Star 1–4 Reims moved the odds the most. Red Star lost 4–1 to Reims at home, and their promotion chances fell from 9% to 2%. Reims won 4–1 at Red Star, and their promotion chances rose from 26% to 50%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- St. Étienne
- Reims
- Montpellier
- Annecy
- Metz
Show as a table
| Round | St. Étienne | Reims | Montpellier | Annecy | Metz |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 15% |
| 2 | 42% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 12% |
| 3 | 62% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| 4 | 66% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 66%+4 pts | 85%+5 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 2 | 8 | 19%+10 pts | 50%+24 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4%−3 pts | 15%−6 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3%−4 pts | 11%−9 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 6%−11 pts | |
| 6 | 7 | 4%−1 pt | 15%−2 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4%−1 pt | 14%−2 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 8 | 5 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−7 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 9 | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 27%−2 pts | |
| 10 | 4 | 1%−2 pts | 4%−5 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 11 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%±0 | |
| 12 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−3 pts | |
| 13 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−15 pts | |
| 14 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 38%+23 pts | |
| 15 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%−2 pts | |
| 16 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%+1 pt | |
| 17 | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 39%+5 pts | |
| 18 | 1 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 5%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.