Foot Simu
Ligue 2 2026/27

Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 4

After the games up to 31 August 2026

St. Étienne lead the title race at 66%. Red Star 1–4 Reims moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Down

Reims won 4–1 at Red Star, and their title chances rose from 9% to 19%. Rodez drew 2–2 with Pau at home, and their title chances fell from 7% to 3%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 66%.

Promotion

Up

Down

Reims won 4–1 at Red Star, and their promotion chances rose from 26% to 50%. Rodez drew 2–2 with Pau at home, and their promotion chances fell from 20% to 11%.

Relegation

Up

Down

Laval lost 3–0 to Grenoble at home, and their relegation chances rose from 15% to 38%. Grenoble won 3–0 at Laval, and their relegation chances fell from 26% to 11%.

Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Red Star 1–4 Reims moved the odds the most. Red Star lost 4–1 to Reims at home, and their promotion chances fell from 9% to 2%. Reims won 4–1 at Red Star, and their promotion chances rose from 26% to 50%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • St. Étienne
  • Reims
  • Montpellier
  • Annecy
  • Metz
0%20%40%60%80%1234St. Étienne 66%Reims 19%Montpellier 4%Annecy 4%Metz 4%
Show as a table
RoundSt. ÉtienneReimsMontpellierAnnecyMetz
132%10%3%8%15%
242%6%5%15%12%
362%9%7%5%5%
466%19%4%4%4%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitlePromotionRelegation
1St. Étienne66%+4 pts85%+5 pts<1%±0
2Reims19%+10 pts50%+24 pts0%±0
3Montpellier4%−3 pts15%−6 pts<1%±0
4Rodez3%−4 pts11%−9 pts<1%±0
5Nancy<1%±01%+1 pt6%−11 pts
6Annecy4%−1 pt15%−2 pts<1%±0
7Metz4%−1 pt14%−2 pts<1%±0
8Red Star<1%−2 pts2%−7 pts2%+1 pt
9Sochaux<1%±0<1%±027%−2 pts
10Dunkerque1%−2 pts4%−5 pts2%+1 pt
11Guingamp<1%±0<1%±011%±0
12Pau<1%±0<1%±016%−3 pts
13Grenoble<1%±0<1%±011%−15 pts
14Laval0%±00%±038%+23 pts
15Boulogne0%±0<1%±028%−2 pts
16Clermont Foot0%±0<1%±015%+1 pt
17Dijon0%±0<1%±039%+5 pts
18Nantes<1%±01%−1 pt5%+1 pt

Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.

All reports this season