Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 26 October 2026
St. Étienne lead the title race at 79%. Clermont Foot 0–2 Guingamp moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
St. Étienne75%79%+4 pts
Montpellier8%11%+3 pts
Annecy<1%1%+1 pt
St. Étienne beat Nantes 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 75% to 79%. Reims drew 1–1 at Boulogne, and their title chances fell from 13% to 8%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 79%.
Promotion
Up
- Montpellier34%45%+11 pts
- Annecy3%6%+3 pts
- St. Étienne92%93%+1 pt
Montpellier beat Red Star 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 34% to 45%. Reims drew 1–1 at Boulogne, and their promotion chances fell from 46% to 38%.
Relegation
Up
Clermont Foot22%33%+11 pts
Laval67%73%+6 pts
Sochaux16%21%+5 pts
Clermont Foot lost 2–0 to Guingamp at home, and their relegation chances rose from 22% to 33%. Guingamp won 2–0 at Clermont Foot, and their relegation chances fell from 18% to 7%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Clermont Foot 0–2 Guingamp moved the odds the most. Clermont Foot lost 2–0 to Guingamp at home, and their relegation chances rose from 22% to 33%. Guingamp won 2–0 at Clermont Foot, and their relegation chances fell from 18% to 7%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- St. Étienne
- Montpellier
- Reims
- Red Star
- Annecy
Show as a table
| Round | St. Étienne | Montpellier | Reims | Red Star | Annecy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| 2 | 42% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 15% |
| 3 | 62% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 5% |
| 4 | 66% | 4% | 19% | <1% | 4% |
| 5 | 77% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 4% |
| 6 | 67% | 2% | 19% | 2% | 3% |
| 7 | 67% | 3% | 18% | 5% | 1% |
| 8 | 73% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| 9 | 75% | 8% | 13% | 2% | <1% |
| 10 | 79% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. ÉtienneSaint-Étienne | 25 | 79%+4 pts | 93%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 | MontpellierMontpellier | 21 | 11%+3 pts | 45%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  NancyAS Nancy Lorraine | 19 | <1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 4 |  ReimsStade de Reims | 18 | 8%−5 pts | 38%−8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  PauPau | 17 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%−2 pts |
| 6 |  Red StarRed Star | 17 | 1%−1 pt | 7%−6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 | AnnecyAnnecy | 16 | 1%+1 pt | 6%+3 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 8 |  MetzMetz | 14 | 1%±0 | 5%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  DijonDijon | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%+2 pts |
| 10 |  DunkerqueDunkerque | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 11 |  GuingampGuingamp | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−11 pts |
| 12 | SochauxSochaux | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%+5 pts |
| 13 |  BoulogneBoulogne | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%−4 pts |
| 14 |  RodezRodez | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−9 pts |
| 15 |  NantesNantes | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 16 |  GrenobleGrenoble | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 31%+3 pts |
| 17 | Clermont FootClermont Foot | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 33%+11 pts |
| 18 | LavalLaval | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.