Ligue 2 title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 12 October 2026
St. Étienne lead the title race at 73%. Dijon 4–2 Metz moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
St. Étienne67%73%+6 pts
Montpellier3%5%+2 pts
Red Star5%6%+1 pt
St. Étienne beat Rodez 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 67% to 73%. Reims drew 0–0 at Nantes, and their title chances fell from 18% to 12%. St. Étienne lead the title race at 73%.
Promotion
Up
- Montpellier13%21%+8 pts
- Red Star19%25%+6 pts
Annecy6%10%+4 pts
Montpellier beat Grenoble 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 13% to 21%. Metz lost 4–2 at Dijon, and their promotion chances fell from 18% to 7%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Dijon 4–2 Metz moved the odds the most. Dijon beat Metz 4–2 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 14% to 4%. Metz lost 4–2 at Dijon, and their promotion chances fell from 18% to 7%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- St. Étienne
- Reims
- Red Star
- Montpellier
- Annecy
Show as a table
| Round | St. Étienne | Reims | Red Star | Montpellier | Annecy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
| 2 | 42% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 15% |
| 3 | 62% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 5% |
| 4 | 66% | 19% | <1% | 4% | 4% |
| 5 | 77% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| 6 | 67% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| 7 | 67% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | 73% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. ÉtienneSaint-Étienne | 19 | 73%+6 pts | 90%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Red StarRed Star | 17 | 6%+1 pt | 25%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | MontpellierMontpellier | 15 | 5%+2 pts | 21%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  ReimsStade de Reims | 14 | 12%−6 pts | 42%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  NancyAS Nancy Lorraine | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−4 pts |
| 6 | AnnecyAnnecy | 13 | 2%+1 pt | 10%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 7 |  DijonDijon | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−10 pts |
| 8 |  PauPau | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 7%−6 pts |
| 9 |  SochauxSochaux | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%±0 |
| 10 |  MetzMetz | 10 | 1%−3 pts | 7%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  DunkerqueDunkerque | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 4%+2 pts |
| 12 |  GuingampGuingamp | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 12%+3 pts |
| 13 |  NantesNantes | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%−1 pt |
| 14 |  GrenobleGrenoble | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%+6 pts |
| 15 |  RodezRodez | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 9%+2 pts |
| 16 |  BoulogneBoulogne | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 38%−3 pts |
| 17 |  Clermont FootClermont Foot | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%+5 pts |
| 18 |  LavalLaval | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.