Serie B title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 28 October 2026
Palermo lead the title race at 71%. Cesena 2–1 Empoli moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Modena won 2–1 at Vicenza, and their title chances rose from 12% to 17%. Palermo drew 3–3 at Pisa, and their title chances fell from 77% to 71%. Palermo lead the title race at 71%.
Promotion
Down
Mantova13%6%−7 pts
Palermo93%89%−4 pts
Juve Stabia4%2%−2 pts
Modena won 2–1 at Vicenza, and their promotion chances rose from 46% to 53%. Mantova lost 2–0 to Cremonese at home, and their promotion chances fell from 13% to 6%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Cesena 2–1 Empoli moved the odds the most. Cesena beat Empoli 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 25% to 14%. Empoli lost 2–1 at Cesena, and their relegation chances rose from 31% to 39%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Palermo
- Modena
- Pisa
- Ascoli
- Verona
Show as a table
| Round | Palermo | Modena | Pisa | Ascoli | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 13% | 5% | <1% | 6% |
| 2 | 47% | 30% | 7% | <1% | 4% |
| 3 | 52% | 13% | 14% | <1% | 10% |
| 4 | 56% | 16% | 5% | <1% | 5% |
| 5 | 58% | 20% | 4% | <1% | 5% |
| 6 | 61% | 21% | 6% | <1% | 2% |
| 7 | 79% | 8% | 9% | <1% | 1% |
| 8 | 77% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 1% |
| 9 | 71% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PalermoPalermo | 23 | 71%−6 pts | 89%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  ModenaModena | 19 | 17%+5 pts | 53%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  AscoliAscoli | 18 | 2%+1 pt | 9%+3 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 4 | MantovaMantova | 17 | 1%−1 pt | 6%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  BeneventoBenevento | 15 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 2%±0 |
| 6 |  PisaPisa | 15 | 7%+1 pt | 27%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  PadovaPadova | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−7 pts |
| 8 |  SüdtirolSüdtirol | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 6%+3 pts |
| 9 |  VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 2%+1 pt | 8%+3 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  AvellinoAvellino | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 5%−1 pt |
| 11 | Juve StabiaJuve Stabia | 12 | <1%±0 | 2%−2 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 12 |  CesenaCesena | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%−11 pts |
| 13 |  CarrareseCarrarese | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%−5 pts |
| 14 |  Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%−1 pt |
| 15 |  ArezzoArezzo | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 56%+6 pts |
| 16 |  CremoneseCremonese | 9 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 2%−4 pts |
| 17 |  VicenzaVicenza | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%+2 pts |
| 18 |  EmpoliEmpoli | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 39%+8 pts |
| 19 |  SampdoriaSampdoria | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%+10 pts |
| 20 |  CatanzaroCatanzaro | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 35%−2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.