Serie B title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 13 September 2026
Palermo lead the title race at 56%. Pisa 1–4 Virtus Entella moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Palermo drew 1–1 at Avellino, and their title chances rose from 52% to 56%. Pisa lost 4–1 to Virtus Entella at home, and their title chances fell from 14% to 5%. Palermo lead the title race at 56%.
Promotion
Mantova beat Sampdoria 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 5% to 14%. Pisa lost 4–1 to Virtus Entella at home, and their promotion chances fell from 33% to 15%.
Relegation
Down
Virtus Entella50%22%−28 pts
Benevento57%34%−23 pts
Arezzo42%31%−11 pts
Sampdoria lost 2–0 at Mantova, and their relegation chances rose from 37% to 59%. Virtus Entella won 4–1 at Pisa, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 22%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Pisa 1–4 Virtus Entella moved the odds the most. Pisa lost 4–1 to Virtus Entella at home, and their promotion chances fell from 33% to 15%. Virtus Entella won 4–1 at Pisa, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 22%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Palermo
- Modena
- Cremonese
- Pisa
- Verona
Show as a table
| Round | Palermo | Modena | Cremonese | Pisa | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 6% |
| 2 | 47% | 30% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
| 3 | 52% | 13% | 5% | 14% | 10% |
| 4 | 56% | 16% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 5%+3 pts | 14%+9 pts | 1%−1 pt | |
| 2 | 10 | 56%+4 pts | 75%+2 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1%±0 | 5%+2 pts | 4%+1 pt | |
| 4 | 7 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts | 6%+1 pt | |
| 5 | 7 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 7%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 7 | 16%+3 pts | 38%+7 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 19%+8 pts | |
| 8 | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 31%−11 pts | |
| 9 | 6 | 1%+1 pt | 2%+1 pt | 11%+2 pts | |
| 10 | 6 | 5%−9 pts | 15%−18 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 11 | 6 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | 11%+7 pts | |
| 12 | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 40%+5 pts | |
| 13 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%−23 pts | |
| 14 | 4 | 5%−5 pts | 15%−11 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%−28 pts | |
| 16 | 4 | 6%+1 pt | 19%+3 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 17 | 4 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 12%+4 pts | |
| 18 | 3 | 1%±0 | 5%+3 pts | 5%±0 | |
| 19 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 37%+15 pts | |
| 20 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 59%+22 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.