Serie B title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Palermo lead the title race at 58%. Arezzo 1–4 Südtirol moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Modena beat Empoli 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 16% to 20%. Cremonese drew 0–0 with Virtus Entella at home, and their title chances fell from 6% to 4%. Palermo lead the title race at 58%.
Promotion
Südtirol won 4–1 at Arezzo, and their promotion chances rose from 5% to 14%. Cremonese drew 0–0 with Virtus Entella at home, and their promotion chances fell from 19% to 12%.
Relegation
Arezzo lost 4–1 to Südtirol at home, and their relegation chances rose from 31% to 51%. Sampdoria beat Catanzaro 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 59% to 40%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Arezzo 1–4 Südtirol moved the odds the most. Arezzo lost 4–1 to Südtirol at home, and their relegation chances rose from 31% to 51%. Südtirol won 4–1 at Arezzo, and their promotion chances rose from 5% to 14%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Palermo
- Modena
- Verona
- Südtirol
- Pisa
Show as a table
| Round | Palermo | Modena | Verona | Südtirol | Pisa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 5% |
| 2 | 47% | 30% | 4% | <1% | 7% |
| 3 | 52% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 14% |
| 4 | 56% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| 5 | 58% | 20% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PalermoPalermo | 13 | 58%+2 pts | 78%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  SüdtirolSüdtirol | 11 | 4%+3 pts | 14%+9 pts | 1%−3 pts |
| 3 |  MantovaMantova | 11 | 3%−2 pts | 11%−3 pts | 1%±0 |
| 4 |  ModenaModena | 10 | 20%+4 pts | 44%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  AscoliAscoli | 10 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 8%−11 pts |
| 6 |  PadovaPadova | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | 9%+2 pts |
| 7 |  BeneventoBenevento | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 19%−15 pts |
| 8 |  VeronaHellas Verona | 7 | 5%±0 | 17%+2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 9 |  AvellinoAvellino | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−3 pts | 12%+6 pts |
| 10 |  CesenaCesena | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 10%−1 pt |
| 11 |  PisaPisa | 7 | 4%−1 pt | 12%−3 pts | 1%±0 |
| 12 |  ArezzoArezzo | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 51%+20 pts |
| 13 |  EmpoliEmpoli | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 15%+4 pts |
| 14 |  Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 17%−5 pts |
| 15 |  VicenzaVicenza | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 44%+4 pts |
| 16 |  CremoneseCremonese | 5 | 4%−2 pts | 12%−7 pts | 1%±0 |
| 17 |  Juve StabiaJuve Stabia | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 13%+1 pt |
| 18 |  SampdoriaSampdoria | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 40%−19 pts |
| 19 |  CatanzaroCatanzaro | 3 | 1%±0 | 2%−3 pts | 9%+4 pts |
| 20 |  CarrareseCarrarese | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 50%+13 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.