Serie B title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 11 October 2026
Palermo lead the title race at 61%. Padova 0–2 Carrarese moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Palermo won 4–2 at Empoli, and their title chances rose from 58% to 61%. Verona lost 3–2 at Modena, and their title chances fell from 5% to 2%. Palermo lead the title race at 61%.
Promotion
Modena beat Verona 3–2 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 44% to 52%. Verona lost 3–2 at Modena, and their promotion chances fell from 17% to 8%.
Relegation
Vicenza lost 3–0 to Pisa at home, and their relegation chances rose from 44% to 59%. Carrarese won 2–0 at Padova, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 25%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Padova 0–2 Carrarese moved the odds the most. Padova lost 2–0 to Carrarese at home, and their relegation chances rose from 9% to 16%. Carrarese won 2–0 at Padova, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 25%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Palermo
- Modena
- Pisa
- Mantova
- Verona
Show as a table
| Round | Palermo | Modena | Pisa | Mantova | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
| 2 | 47% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 4% |
| 3 | 52% | 13% | 14% | 2% | 10% |
| 4 | 56% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 5 | 58% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| 6 | 61% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PalermoPalermo | 16 | 61%+3 pts | 82%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  MantovaMantova | 14 | 5%+2 pts | 17%+6 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 3 |  ModenaModena | 13 | 21%+1 pt | 52%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  SüdtirolSüdtirol | 12 | 2%−2 pts | 8%−6 pts | 1%±0 |
| 5 |  AscoliAscoli | 11 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 5%−3 pts |
| 6 |  AvellinoAvellino | 10 | 1%+1 pt | 2%+1 pt | 4%−8 pts |
| 7 |  PisaPisa | 10 | 6%+2 pts | 19%+7 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 8 |  BeneventoBenevento | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 7%−12 pts |
| 9 |  VeronaHellas Verona | 7 | 2%−3 pts | 8%−9 pts | 1%±0 |
| 10 |  PadovaPadova | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 16%+7 pts |
| 11 |  CesenaCesena | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 15%+5 pts |
| 12 |  ArezzoArezzo | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 47%−4 pts |
| 13 |  EmpoliEmpoli | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 17%+2 pts |
| 14 |  Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 17%±0 |
| 15 |  CremoneseCremonese | 6 | 1%−3 pts | 6%−6 pts | 1%±0 |
| 16 |  Juve StabiaJuve Stabia | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 12%−1 pt |
| 17 |  VicenzaVicenza | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 59%+15 pts |
| 18 |  CarrareseCarrarese | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%−25 pts |
| 19 |  SampdoriaSampdoria | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 54%+14 pts |
| 20 |  CatanzaroCatanzaro | 3 | <1%−1 pt | <1%−2 pts | 17%+8 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.