Arouca's relegation chances: Primeira Liga 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- <1%
- Position
- 5th
- 20 pts · 10 games
- Likely finish
- 4th–8th
Arouca are 5th in the Primeira Liga table with 20 points from 10 games.
Arouca go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 4th–8th (76% of seasons), averaging 53 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Estoril Praia18th · 2 pts53% - 2
Casa Pia17th · 7 pts49% - 3
Rio Ave15th · 7 pts39% - 4
Marítimo14th · 8 pts25% - 5
Nacional16th · 7 pts19% - 6
Estrela da Amadora12th · 10 pts9% - 7
Vitória de Guimarães13th · 9 pts3% - 8
Alverca10th · 11 pts1% - 9Arouca5th · 20 pts<1%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on Arouca
Frequently asked questions
Will Arouca be relegated?
Arouca go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Arouca are 5th in the Primeira Liga table with 20 points from 10 games.
Where will Arouca finish?
Their likely finish is 4th–8th (76% of seasons), averaging 53 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Primeira Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.