Foot Simu
Primeira Liga 2026/27

Arouca's chances of winning the Primeira Liga 2026/27

Title chance
<1%
Position
5th
20 pts · 10 games
Likely finish
4th–8th

Arouca are 5th in the Primeira Liga table with 20 points from 10 games.

Arouca win the title in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 4th–8th (76% of seasons), averaging 53 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Porto1st · 30 pts75%
  2. 2Benfica2nd · 25 pts21%
  3. 3Sporting3rd · 21 pts4%
  4. 4Santa Clara4th · 21 pts<1%
  5. 5Braga8th · 14 pts<1%
  6. 6Arouca5th · 20 pts<1%
  7. 7Académico de Viseu6th · 20 pts0%
  8. 8Gil Vicente7th · 15 pts0%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Arouca

Frequently asked questions

What are Arouca's chances of winning the Primeira Liga?

Arouca win the title in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Arouca are 5th in the Primeira Liga table with 20 points from 10 games.

Where will Arouca finish?

Their likely finish is 4th–8th (76% of seasons), averaging 53 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Primeira Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.