Nacional's relegation chances: Primeira Liga 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- 19%
- Position
- 16th
- 7 pts · 10 games
- Likely finish
- 12th–17th
Nacional are 16th in the Primeira Liga table with 7 points from 10 games.
Nacional go down in 19% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 12th–17th (79% of seasons), averaging 33 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Estoril Praia18th · 2 pts53% - 2
Casa Pia17th · 7 pts49% - 3
Rio Ave15th · 7 pts39% - 4
Marítimo14th · 8 pts25% - 5Nacional16th · 7 pts19%
- 6
Estrela da Amadora12th · 10 pts9% - 7
Vitória de Guimarães13th · 9 pts3% - 8
Alverca10th · 11 pts1%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on Nacional
Frequently asked questions
Will Nacional be relegated?
Nacional go down in 19% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Nacional are 16th in the Primeira Liga table with 7 points from 10 games.
Where will Nacional finish?
Their likely finish is 12th–17th (79% of seasons), averaging 33 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Primeira Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.