Primeira Liga 2026/27 relegation odds
Estoril go down in 53% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Casa Pia (49%) and Rio Ave (39%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Estoril Praia18th · 2 pts53% - 2
Casa Pia17th · 7 pts49% - 3
Rio Ave15th · 7 pts39% - 4
Marítimo14th · 8 pts25% - 5
Nacional16th · 7 pts19% - 6
Estrela da Amadora12th · 10 pts9% - 7
Vitória de Guimarães13th · 9 pts3% - 8
Alverca10th · 11 pts1% - 9
Moreirense9th · 14 pts1% - 10
Famalicão11th · 10 pts1% - 11
Académico de Viseu6th · 20 pts<1% - 12
Gil Vicente7th · 15 pts<1% - 13
Arouca5th · 20 pts<1% - 14
Braga8th · 14 pts<1%
4 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Primeira Liga chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the Primeira Liga 2026/27?
Estoril go down in 53% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Casa Pia (49%) and Rio Ave (39%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Primeira Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.