FC Tokyo's relegation chances: J1 League 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- 0%
- Position
- 1st
- 30 pts · 13 games
- Likely finish
- 1st–5th
FC Tokyo are 1st in the J1 League table with 30 points from 13 games.
Tokyo go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 1st–5th (86% of seasons), averaging 73 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Avispa Fukuoka20th · 7 pts62% - 2
Mito Hollyhock19th · 9 pts55% - 3
Tokyo Verdy 196917th · 11 pts53% - 4
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba18th · 10 pts48% - 5
V-Varen Nagasaki15th · 12 pts22% - 6
Shimizu S-Pulse13th · 14 pts21% - 7
Cerezo Osaka12th · 14 pts12% - 8
Gamba Osaka16th · 12 pts9% - 9FC Tokyo1st · 30 pts0%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on Tokyo
Frequently asked questions
Will FC Tokyo be relegated?
Tokyo go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons. FC Tokyo are 1st in the J1 League table with 30 points from 13 games.
Where will FC Tokyo finish?
Their likely finish is 1st–5th (86% of seasons), averaging 73 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the J1 League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.