Foot Simu
J1 League 2026/27

FC Tokyo's chances of winning the J1 League 2026/27

Title chance
18%
Position
1st
30 pts · 13 games
Likely finish
1st–5th

FC Tokyo are 1st in the J1 League table with 30 points from 13 games.

Tokyo win the title in 18% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st–5th (86% of seasons), averaging 73 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Machida Zelvia3rd · 28 pts29%
  2. 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima2nd · 29 pts27%
  3. 3FC Tokyo1st · 30 pts18%
  4. 4Kashiwa Reysol4th · 28 pts17%
  5. 5Vissel Kobe5th · 26 pts6%
  6. 6Kashima Antlers6th · 23 pts2%
  7. 7Kawasaki Frontale7th · 22 pts1%
  8. 8Yokohama F. Marinos8th · 21 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Tokyo

Frequently asked questions

What are FC Tokyo's chances of winning the J1 League?

Tokyo win the title in 18% of 10,000 simulated seasons. FC Tokyo are 1st in the J1 League table with 30 points from 13 games.

Where will FC Tokyo finish?

Their likely finish is 1st–5th (86% of seasons), averaging 73 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the J1 League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.