V-Varen Nagasaki's relegation chances: J1 League 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- 22%
- Position
- 15th
- 12 pts · 13 games
- Likely finish
- 12th–19th
V-Varen Nagasaki are 15th in the J1 League table with 12 points from 13 games.
V-Varen go down in 22% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 12th–19th (82% of seasons), averaging 40 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Avispa Fukuoka20th · 7 pts62% - 2
Mito Hollyhock19th · 9 pts55% - 3
Tokyo Verdy 196917th · 11 pts53% - 4
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba18th · 10 pts48% - 5V-Varen Nagasaki15th · 12 pts22%
- 6
Shimizu S-Pulse13th · 14 pts21% - 7
Cerezo Osaka12th · 14 pts12% - 8
Gamba Osaka16th · 12 pts9%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on V-Varen
Frequently asked questions
Will V-Varen Nagasaki be relegated?
V-Varen go down in 22% of 10,000 simulated seasons. V-Varen Nagasaki are 15th in the J1 League table with 12 points from 13 games.
Where will V-Varen Nagasaki finish?
Their likely finish is 12th–19th (82% of seasons), averaging 40 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the J1 League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.