J1 League 2026/27 relegation odds
A Fukuoka go down in 62% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Mito Hollyhock (55%) and Tokyo Verdy (53%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Avispa Fukuoka20th · 7 pts62% - 2
Mito Hollyhock19th · 9 pts55% - 3
Tokyo Verdy 196917th · 11 pts53% - 4
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba18th · 10 pts48% - 5
V-Varen Nagasaki15th · 12 pts22% - 6
Shimizu S-Pulse13th · 14 pts21% - 7
Cerezo Osaka12th · 14 pts12% - 8
Gamba Osaka16th · 12 pts9% - 9
Fagiano Okayama10th · 16 pts9% - 10
Nagoya Grampus11th · 14 pts6% - 11
Kyoto Sanga14th · 13 pts1% - 12
Urawa Red Diamonds9th · 21 pts<1% - 13
Yokohama F. Marinos8th · 21 pts<1% - 14
Kawasaki Frontale7th · 22 pts<1%
6 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More J1 League chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the J1 League 2026/27?
A Fukuoka go down in 62% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Mito Hollyhock (55%) and Tokyo Verdy (53%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the J1 League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.