Foot Simu
J1 League 2026/27

Nagoya Grampus's relegation chances: J1 League 2026/27

Relegation chance
6%
Position
11th
14 pts · 13 games
Likely finish
9th–15th

Nagoya Grampus are 11th in the J1 League table with 14 points from 13 games.

Nagoya go down in 6% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 9th–15th (77% of seasons), averaging 46 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Avispa Fukuoka20th · 7 pts62%
  2. 2Mito Hollyhock19th · 9 pts55%
  3. 3Tokyo Verdy 196917th · 11 pts53%
  4. 4JEF United Ichihara-Chiba18th · 10 pts48%
  5. 5V-Varen Nagasaki15th · 12 pts22%
  6. 6Shimizu S-Pulse13th · 14 pts21%
  7. 7Cerezo Osaka12th · 14 pts12%
  8. 8Gamba Osaka16th · 12 pts9%
  9. 9Nagoya Grampus11th · 14 pts6%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Nagoya

Frequently asked questions

Will Nagoya Grampus be relegated?

Nagoya go down in 6% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Nagoya Grampus are 11th in the J1 League table with 14 points from 13 games.

Where will Nagoya Grampus finish?

Their likely finish is 9th–15th (77% of seasons), averaging 46 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the J1 League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.