Foot Simu
Scottish Premiership 2026/27

Falkirk's relegation chances: Scottish Premiership 2026/27

Relegation chance
<1%
Position
4th
18 pts · 12 games
Likely finish
4th–7th

Falkirk are 4th in the Scottish Premiership table with 18 points from 12 games.

Falkirk go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 4th–7th (78% of seasons), averaging 54 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Kilmarnock11th · 9 pts58%
  2. 2St Mirren8th · 14 pts18%
  3. 3St Johnstone7th · 14 pts8%
  4. 4Aberdeen10th · 11 pts8%
  5. 5Hibernian12th · 8 pts5%
  6. 6Motherwell9th · 12 pts2%
  7. 7Dundee United6th · 16 pts1%
  8. 8Dundee5th · 17 pts1%
  9. 9Falkirk4th · 18 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Falkirk

Frequently asked questions

Will Falkirk be relegated?

Falkirk go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Falkirk are 4th in the Scottish Premiership table with 18 points from 12 games.

Where will Falkirk finish?

Their likely finish is 4th–7th (78% of seasons), averaging 54 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Scottish Premiership season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.