Foot Simu
Scottish Premiership 2026/27

Kilmarnock's relegation chances: Scottish Premiership 2026/27

Relegation chance
58%
Position
11th
9 pts · 12 games
Likely finish
11th–12th

Kilmarnock are 11th in the Scottish Premiership table with 9 points from 12 games.

Kilmarnock go down in 58% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 11th–12th (78% of seasons), averaging 34 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Kilmarnock11th · 9 pts58%
  2. 2St Mirren8th · 14 pts18%
  3. 3St Johnstone7th · 14 pts8%
  4. 4Aberdeen10th · 11 pts8%
  5. 5Hibernian12th · 8 pts5%
  6. 6Motherwell9th · 12 pts2%
  7. 7Dundee United6th · 16 pts1%
  8. 8Dundee5th · 17 pts1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Kilmarnock

Frequently asked questions

Will Kilmarnock be relegated?

Kilmarnock go down in 58% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Kilmarnock are 11th in the Scottish Premiership table with 9 points from 12 games.

Where will Kilmarnock finish?

Their likely finish is 11th–12th (78% of seasons), averaging 34 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Scottish Premiership season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.