Foot Simu
Scottish Premiership 2026/27

Aberdeen's relegation chances: Scottish Premiership 2026/27

Relegation chance
8%
Position
10th
11 pts · 11 games
Likely finish
7th–11th

Aberdeen are 10th in the Scottish Premiership table with 11 points from 11 games.

Aberdeen go down in 8% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 7th–11th (75% of seasons), averaging 43 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Kilmarnock11th · 9 pts58%
  2. 2St Mirren8th · 14 pts18%
  3. 3St Johnstone7th · 14 pts8%
  4. 4Aberdeen10th · 11 pts8%
  5. 5Hibernian12th · 8 pts5%
  6. 6Motherwell9th · 12 pts2%
  7. 7Dundee United6th · 16 pts1%
  8. 8Dundee5th · 17 pts1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Aberdeen

Frequently asked questions

Will Aberdeen be relegated?

Aberdeen go down in 8% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Aberdeen are 10th in the Scottish Premiership table with 11 points from 11 games.

Where will Aberdeen finish?

Their likely finish is 7th–11th (75% of seasons), averaging 43 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Scottish Premiership season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.