Foot Simu
Primeira Liga 2026/27

Benfica's chances of winning the Primeira Liga 2026/27

Title chance
21%
Position
2nd
25 pts · 10 games
Likely finish
1st–2nd

Benfica are 2nd in the Primeira Liga table with 25 points from 10 games.

Benfica win the title in 21% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st–2nd (79% of seasons), averaging 77 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Porto1st · 30 pts75%
  2. 2Benfica2nd · 25 pts21%
  3. 3Sporting3rd · 21 pts4%
  4. 4Santa Clara4th · 21 pts<1%
  5. 5Braga8th · 14 pts<1%
  6. 6Arouca5th · 20 pts<1%
  7. 7Académico de Viseu6th · 20 pts0%
  8. 8Gil Vicente7th · 15 pts0%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Benfica

Frequently asked questions

What are Benfica's chances of winning the Primeira Liga?

Benfica win the title in 21% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Benfica are 2nd in the Primeira Liga table with 25 points from 10 games.

Where will Benfica finish?

Their likely finish is 1st–2nd (79% of seasons), averaging 77 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Primeira Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.