La Liga 2026/27 relegation odds
Málaga go down in 88% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Racing (60%) and Osasuna (31%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Málaga20th · 5 pts88% - 2
Racing Santander16th · 11 pts60% - 3
Osasuna15th · 11 pts31% - 4
Valencia19th · 9 pts30% - 5
Getafe12th · 12 pts24% - 6
Deportivo La Coruña8th · 14 pts18% - 7
Levante18th · 10 pts12% - 8
Alavés9th · 12 pts9% - 9
Espanyol14th · 11 pts9% - 10
Elche17th · 10 pts8% - 11
Rayo Vallecano10th · 12 pts5% - 12
Celta Vigo11th · 12 pts5% - 13
Athletic Club7th · 15 pts1% - 14
Sevilla6th · 17 pts1% - 15
Villarreal13th · 12 pts1% - 16
Real Sociedad5th · 19 pts<1% - 17
Real Betis4th · 23 pts<1%
3 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More La Liga chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the La Liga 2026/27?
Málaga go down in 88% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Racing (60%) and Osasuna (31%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the La Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.