Foot Simu
La Liga 2026/27

Rayo Vallecano's relegation chances: La Liga 2026/27

Relegation chance
5%
Position
10th
12 pts · 10 games
Likely finish
6th–15th

Rayo Vallecano are 10th in the La Liga table with 12 points from 10 games.

Rayo go down in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 6th–15th (80% of seasons), averaging 48 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Málaga20th · 5 pts88%
  2. 2Racing Santander16th · 11 pts60%
  3. 3Osasuna15th · 11 pts31%
  4. 4Valencia19th · 9 pts30%
  5. 5Getafe12th · 12 pts24%
  6. 6Deportivo La Coruña8th · 14 pts18%
  7. 7Levante18th · 10 pts12%
  8. 8Alavés9th · 12 pts9%
  9. 9Rayo Vallecano10th · 12 pts5%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Rayo

Frequently asked questions

Will Rayo Vallecano be relegated?

Rayo go down in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Rayo Vallecano are 10th in the La Liga table with 12 points from 10 games.

Where will Rayo Vallecano finish?

Their likely finish is 6th–15th (80% of seasons), averaging 48 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the La Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.