Super League Greece title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 12 October 2026
AEK Athens lead the title race at 55%. PAOK 1–3 Kalamata moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
AEK Athens37%55%+18 pts
Olympiacos11%18%+7 pts
Down
PAOK32%9%−23 pts
Panathinaikos21%17%−4 pts
AEK Athens beat OFI Crete 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 37% to 55%. PAOK lost 3–1 to Kalamata at home, and their title chances fell from 32% to 9%. AEK Athens lead the title race at 55%.
Champions League
Up
Olympiacos29%47%+18 pts
AEK Athens65%80%+15 pts
Down
PAOK60%28%−32 pts
Panathinaikos46%45%−1 pt
Olympiacos beat Panathinaikos 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 29% to 47%. PAOK lost 3–1 to Kalamata at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 60% to 28%.
Relegation
Up
Levadiakos11%26%+15 pts
Atromitos11%22%+11 pts
Volos70%76%+6 pts
Down
Kalamata31%11%−20 pts
Asteras Trip44%36%−8 pts
Iraklis13%8%−5 pts
Levadiakos lost 2–0 at Iraklis, and their relegation chances rose from 11% to 26%. Kalamata won 3–1 at PAOK, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 11%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
PAOK 1–3 Kalamata moved the odds the most. PAOK lost 3–1 to Kalamata at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 60% to 28%. Kalamata won 3–1 at PAOK, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 11%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- AEK Athens
- Olympiacos
- Panathinaikos
- PAOK
- Aris
Show as a table
| Round | AEK Athens | Olympiacos | Panathinaikos | PAOK | Aris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 30% | 1% | 27% | <1% |
| 2 | 27% | 35% | 3% | 34% | <1% |
| 3 | 53% | 22% | 8% | 18% | <1% |
| 4 | 42% | 10% | 19% | 29% | <1% |
| 5 | 37% | 11% | 21% | 32% | <1% |
| 6 | 55% | 18% | 17% | 9% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 17%−4 pts | 45%−1 pt | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 14 | 55%+18 pts | 80%+15 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 13 | 18%+7 pts | 47%+18 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9%−23 pts | 28%−32 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 5 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | |
| 6 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | |
| 7 | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%−5 pts | |
| 8 | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 10%+6 pts | |
| 9 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%−4 pts | |
| 10 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%−20 pts | |
| 11 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 36%−8 pts | |
| 12 | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 22%+11 pts | |
| 13 | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 26%+15 pts | |
| 14 | -1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.