Super League Greece title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 13 September 2026
AEK Athens lead the title race at 42%. Olympiacos 0–1 OFI Crete moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
PAOK18%29%+11 pts
Panathinaikos8%19%+11 pts
Down
Olympiacos22%10%−12 pts
AEK Athens53%42%−11 pts
PAOK beat Aris 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 18% to 29%. Olympiacos lost 1–0 to OFI Crete at home, and their title chances fell from 22% to 10%. AEK Athens lead the title race at 42%.
Champions League
Up
- Panathinaikos24%43%+19 pts
- PAOK45%59%+14 pts
Down
- Olympiacos52%28%−24 pts
- AEK Athens78%69%−9 pts
Panathinaikos's Champions League chances rose from 24% to 43%. Olympiacos lost 1–0 to OFI Crete at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 52% to 28%.
Relegation
Up
Volos54%67%+13 pts
Kifisia19%26%+7 pts
Panetolikos1%3%+2 pts
Down
Kalamata38%23%−15 pts
Asteras Trip62%55%−7 pts
OFI Crete2%1%−1 pt
Volos lost 3–1 at Kalamata, and their relegation chances rose from 54% to 67%. Kalamata beat Volos 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 38% to 23%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Olympiacos 0–1 OFI Crete moved the odds the most. Olympiacos lost 1–0 to OFI Crete at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 52% to 28%. OFI Crete won 1–0 at Olympiacos, and their relegation chances fell from 2% to 1%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- AEK Athens
- PAOK
- Panathinaikos
- Olympiacos
- OFI Crete
Show as a table
| Round | AEK Athens | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Olympiacos | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 27% | 1% | 30% | <1% |
| 2 | 27% | 34% | 3% | 35% | <1% |
| 3 | 53% | 18% | 8% | 22% | <1% |
| 4 | 42% | 29% | 19% | 10% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 12 | 19%+11 pts | 43%+19 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | PAOKPAOK | 9 | 29%+11 pts | 59%+14 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 4 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%+2 pts |
| 5 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 8 | 42%−11 pts | 69%−9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 7 | 10%−12 pts | 28%−24 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  ArisAris | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 8 |  IraklisIraklis | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 13%+1 pt |
| 9 | KalamataKalamata | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 23%−15 pts |
| 10 |  AtromitosAtromitos | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 11 | KifisiaKifisia | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%+7 pts |
| 12 | Asteras TripAsteras Tripoli | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%−7 pts |
| 13 |  LevadiakosLevadiakos | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 7%+1 pt |
| 14 | VolosVolos NFC | -1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%+13 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.