Super League Greece title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 20 September 2026
AEK Athens lead the title race at 37%. Atromitos 1–2 Kifisia moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
PAOK29%32%+3 pts
Panathinaikos19%21%+2 pts
Olympiacos10%11%+1 pt
Down
AEK Athens42%37%−5 pts
PAOK won 3–1 at Panetolikos, and their title chances rose from 29% to 32%. AEK Athens won 2–1 at Volos, and their title chances fell from 42% to 37%. AEK Athens lead the title race at 37%.
Champions League
Up
Panathinaikos43%46%+3 pts
PAOK59%60%+1 pt
Olympiacos28%29%+1 pt
Down
AEK Athens69%65%−4 pts
Panathinaikos won 1–0 at Kalamata, and their Champions League chances rose from 43% to 46%. AEK Athens won 2–1 at Volos, and their Champions League chances fell from 69% to 65%.
Relegation
Up
Kalamata23%31%+8 pts
Atromitos5%11%+6 pts
Levadiakos7%11%+4 pts
Down
Kifisia26%12%−14 pts
Asteras Trip55%44%−11 pts
Kalamata lost 1–0 to Panathinaikos at home, and their relegation chances rose from 23% to 31%. Kifisia won 2–1 at Atromitos, and their relegation chances fell from 26% to 12%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Atromitos 1–2 Kifisia moved the odds the most. Atromitos lost 2–1 to Kifisia at home, and their relegation chances rose from 5% to 11%. Kifisia won 2–1 at Atromitos, and their relegation chances fell from 26% to 12%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- AEK Athens
- PAOK
- Panathinaikos
- Olympiacos
- Aris
Show as a table
| Round | AEK Athens | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Olympiacos | Aris |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 27% | 1% | 30% | <1% |
| 2 | 27% | 34% | 3% | 35% | <1% |
| 3 | 53% | 18% | 8% | 22% | <1% |
| 4 | 42% | 29% | 19% | 10% | <1% |
| 5 | 37% | 32% | 21% | 11% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 21%+2 pts | 46%+3 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 12 | 32%+3 pts | 60%+1 pt | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 11 | 37%−5 pts | 65%−4 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | |
| 5 | 10 | 11%+1 pt | 29%+1 pt | 0%±0 | |
| 6 | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%+1 pt | |
| 7 | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | |
| 8 | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 13%±0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 12%−14 pts | |
| 10 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 31%+8 pts | |
| 11 | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%+6 pts | |
| 12 | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 44%−11 pts | |
| 13 | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%+4 pts | |
| 14 | -1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 70%+3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.