Eredivisie 2026/27 relegation odds
Willem II go down in 98% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: ADO (46%) and PEC Zwolle (18%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Willem II18th · 2 pts98% - 2
ADO Den Haag17th · 6 pts46% - 3
PEC Zwolle14th · 11 pts18% - 4
Excelsior15th · 11 pts12% - 5
Sparta Rotterdam11th · 12 pts8% - 6
Telstar16th · 9 pts6% - 7
Cambuur9th · 15 pts5% - 8
FC Utrecht12th · 12 pts3% - 9
Go Ahead Eagles10th · 14 pts2% - 10
NEC Nijmegen13th · 11 pts1% - 11
Groningen8th · 15 pts<1% - 12
Fortuna Sittard6th · 19 pts<1% - 13
AZ Alkmaar5th · 20 pts<1% - 14
Heerenveen7th · 18 pts<1%
4 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Eredivisie chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the Eredivisie 2026/27?
Willem II go down in 98% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: ADO (46%) and PEC Zwolle (18%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Eredivisie season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.