Foot Simu
Eredivisie 2026/27

AZ Alkmaar's relegation chances: Eredivisie 2026/27

Relegation chance
<1%
Position
5th
20 pts · 11 games
Likely finish
4th–7th

AZ Alkmaar are 5th in the Eredivisie table with 20 points from 11 games.

AZ Alkmaar go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 4th–7th (75% of seasons), averaging 57 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Willem II18th · 2 pts98%
  2. 2ADO Den Haag17th · 6 pts46%
  3. 3PEC Zwolle14th · 11 pts18%
  4. 4Excelsior15th · 11 pts12%
  5. 5Sparta Rotterdam11th · 12 pts8%
  6. 6Telstar16th · 9 pts6%
  7. 7Cambuur9th · 15 pts5%
  8. 8FC Utrecht12th · 12 pts3%
  9. 9AZ Alkmaar5th · 20 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on AZ Alkmaar

Frequently asked questions

Will AZ Alkmaar be relegated?

AZ Alkmaar go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. AZ Alkmaar are 5th in the Eredivisie table with 20 points from 11 games.

Where will AZ Alkmaar finish?

Their likely finish is 4th–7th (75% of seasons), averaging 57 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Eredivisie season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.