Foot Simu
Championship 2026/27

Stoke City's relegation chances: Championship 2026/27

Relegation chance
<1%
Position
5th
26 pts · 14 games
Likely finish
4th–12th

Stoke City are 5th in the Championship table with 26 points from 14 games.

Stoke go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 4th–12th (77% of seasons), averaging 71 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Preston North End24th · 5 pts89%
  2. 2Derby County23rd · 7 pts58%
  3. 3Charlton Athletic21st · 14 pts38%
  4. 4Lincoln City19th · 15 pts34%
  5. 5Bolton Wanderers17th · 17 pts26%
  6. 6Watford20th · 14 pts23%
  7. 7Cardiff City18th · 15 pts15%
  8. 8Burnley22nd · 10 pts7%
  9. 9Stoke City5th · 26 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Stoke

Frequently asked questions

Will Stoke City be relegated?

Stoke go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Stoke City are 5th in the Championship table with 26 points from 14 games.

Where will Stoke City finish?

Their likely finish is 4th–12th (77% of seasons), averaging 71 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Championship season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.