Derby County's relegation chances: Championship 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- 58%
- Position
- 23rd
- 7 pts · 14 games
- Likely finish
- 20th–24th
Derby County are 23rd in the Championship table with 7 points from 14 games.
Derby go down in 58% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 20th–24th (80% of seasons), averaging 43 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Preston North End24th · 5 pts89% - 2Derby County23rd · 7 pts58%
- 3
Charlton Athletic21st · 14 pts38% - 4
Lincoln City19th · 15 pts34% - 5
Bolton Wanderers17th · 17 pts26% - 6
Watford20th · 14 pts23% - 7
Cardiff City18th · 15 pts15% - 8
Burnley22nd · 10 pts7%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on Derby
Frequently asked questions
Will Derby County be relegated?
Derby go down in 58% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Derby County are 23rd in the Championship table with 7 points from 14 games.
Where will Derby County finish?
Their likely finish is 20th–24th (80% of seasons), averaging 43 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Championship season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.