Foot Simu
Bundesliga 2026/27

Borussia Dortmund's relegation chances: Bundesliga 2026/27

Relegation chance
0%
Position
2nd
18 pts · 8 games
Likely finish
1st–3rd

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga table with 18 points from 8 games.

Dortmund go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st–3rd (85% of seasons), averaging 68 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Schalke 0417th · 6 pts46%
  2. 2Borussia Mönchengladbach18th · 4 pts45%
  3. 3Paderborn14th · 9 pts33%
  4. 4Union Berlin16th · 7 pts31%
  5. 5Hamburger SV15th · 9 pts17%
  6. 6FC Köln13th · 9 pts10%
  7. 7Mainz 059th · 10 pts6%
  8. 8SV Elversberg7th · 13 pts4%
  9. 9Borussia Dortmund2nd · 18 pts0%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Dortmund

Frequently asked questions

Will Borussia Dortmund be relegated?

Dortmund go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga table with 18 points from 8 games.

Where will Borussia Dortmund finish?

Their likely finish is 1st–3rd (85% of seasons), averaging 68 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Bundesliga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.