Mainz 05's relegation chances: Bundesliga 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- 6%
- Position
- 9th
- 10 pts · 8 games
- Likely finish
- 8th–15th
Mainz 05 are 9th in the Bundesliga table with 10 points from 8 games.
Mainz go down in 6% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 8th–15th (77% of seasons), averaging 41 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Schalke 0417th · 6 pts46% - 2
Borussia Mönchengladbach18th · 4 pts45% - 3
Paderborn14th · 9 pts33% - 4
Union Berlin16th · 7 pts31% - 5
Hamburger SV15th · 9 pts17% - 6
FC Köln13th · 9 pts10% - 7Mainz 059th · 10 pts6%
- 8
SV Elversberg7th · 13 pts4%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on Mainz
Frequently asked questions
Will Mainz 05 be relegated?
Mainz go down in 6% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Mainz 05 are 9th in the Bundesliga table with 10 points from 8 games.
Where will Mainz 05 finish?
Their likely finish is 8th–15th (77% of seasons), averaging 41 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Bundesliga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.