Bundesliga 2026/27 relegation odds
Schalke go down in 46% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Gladbach (45%) and Paderborn (33%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Schalke 0417th · 6 pts46% - 2
Borussia Mönchengladbach18th · 4 pts45% - 3
Paderborn14th · 9 pts33% - 4
Union Berlin16th · 7 pts31% - 5
Hamburger SV15th · 9 pts17% - 6
FC Köln13th · 9 pts10% - 7
Mainz 059th · 10 pts6% - 8
SV Elversberg7th · 13 pts4% - 9
Augsburg10th · 9 pts3% - 10
Eintracht Frankfurt8th · 11 pts3% - 11
Hoffenheim12th · 9 pts1% - 12
Werder Bremen5th · 15 pts<1% - 13
VfB Stuttgart11th · 9 pts<1% - 14
Bayer Leverkusen6th · 13 pts<1% - 15
Freiburg3rd · 16 pts<1%
3 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Bundesliga chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the Bundesliga 2026/27?
Schalke go down in 46% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Gladbach (45%) and Paderborn (33%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Bundesliga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.