Brasileirão Série A 2026 relegation odds
Chapecoense go down in 100% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Remo (>99%) and Grêmio (62%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Chapecoense20th · 21 pts100% - 2
Remo19th · 29 pts>99% - 3
Grêmio18th · 37 pts62% - 4
Corinthians17th · 37 pts44% - 5
Internacional16th · 38 pts39% - 6
Vitória15th · 38 pts32% - 7
Mirassol14th · 40 pts12% - 8
Coritiba12th · 42 pts8% - 9
Botafogo11th · 42 pts2% - 10
Vasco13th · 41 pts2% - 11
São Paulo10th · 44 pts<1%
9 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Brasileirão Série A chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the Brasileirão Série A 2026?
Chapecoense go down in 100% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Remo (>99%) and Grêmio (62%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Brasileirão Série A season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.