Foot Simu
Brasileirão Série A 2026

São Paulo's relegation chances: Brasileirão Série A 2026

Relegation chance
<1%
Position
10th
44 pts · 34 games
Likely finish
9th–12th

São Paulo are 10th in the Brasileirão Série A table with 44 points from 34 games.

São Paulo go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 9th–12th (80% of seasons), averaging 50 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Chapecoense20th · 21 pts100%
  2. 2Remo19th · 29 pts>99%
  3. 3Grêmio18th · 37 pts63%
  4. 4Corinthians17th · 37 pts43%
  5. 5Internacional16th · 38 pts38%
  6. 6Vitória15th · 38 pts31%
  7. 7Mirassol14th · 40 pts12%
  8. 8Coritiba12th · 42 pts9%
  9. 9São Paulo10th · 44 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on São Paulo

Frequently asked questions

Will São Paulo be relegated?

São Paulo go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. São Paulo are 10th in the Brasileirão Série A table with 44 points from 34 games.

Where will São Paulo finish?

Their likely finish is 9th–12th (80% of seasons), averaging 50 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Brasileirão Série A season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.