Austrian Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 2 September 2026
LASK Linz lead the title race at 54%. RB Salzburg 5–1 Rapid Vienna moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
RB Salzburg27%37%+10 pts
LASK Linz45%54%+9 pts
Down
Rapid Vienna23%6%−17 pts
Sturm Graz5%3%−2 pts
RB Salzburg beat Rapid Vienna 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 27% to 37%. Rapid Vienna lost 5–1 at RB Salzburg, and their title chances fell from 23% to 6%. LASK Linz lead the title race at 54%.
Champions League
Up
- RB Salzburg57%77%+20 pts
- LASK Linz73%84%+11 pts
Down
- Rapid Vienna52%24%−28 pts
- Sturm Graz16%13%−3 pts
Wolfsberger1%<1%−1 pt
RB Salzburg beat Rapid Vienna 5–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 57% to 77%. Rapid Vienna lost 5–1 at RB Salzburg, and their Champions League chances fell from 52% to 24%.
Relegation
Up
Vienna5%11%+6 pts- Wolfsberger2%3%+1 pt
Down
Swarovski Tirol8%3%−5 pts
Austria Lustenau34%33%−1 pt
SC Rheindorf10%9%−1 pt
Vienna lost 1–0 to Swarovski Tirol at home, and their relegation chances rose from 5% to 11%. Swarovski Tirol won 1–0 at Vienna, and their relegation chances fell from 8% to 3%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
RB Salzburg 5–1 Rapid Vienna moved the odds the most. RB Salzburg beat Rapid Vienna 5–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 57% to 77%. Rapid Vienna lost 5–1 at RB Salzburg, and their Champions League chances fell from 52% to 24%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- LASK Linz
- RB Salzburg
- Rapid Vienna
- Sturm Graz
- TSV Hartberg
Show as a table
| Round | LASK Linz | RB Salzburg | Rapid Vienna | Sturm Graz | TSV Hartberg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 30% | 5% | 20% | 2% |
| 2 | 43% | 18% | 7% | 27% | <1% |
| 3 | 37% | 22% | 19% | 21% | <1% |
| 4 | 45% | 27% | 23% | 5% | <1% |
| 5 | 54% | 37% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK LinzLASK Linz | 15 | 54%+9 pts | 84%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | RB SalzburgRB Salzburg | 13 | 37%+10 pts | 77%+20 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna | 12 | 6%−17 pts | 24%−28 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz | 8 | 3%−2 pts | 13%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | Swarovski TirolWSG Swarovski Tirol | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−5 pts |
| 6 |  TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−1 pt |
| 7 | WolfsbergerWolfsberger | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%+1 pt |
| 8 | Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 33%−1 pt |
| 9 |  SV Josko RiedSV Josko Ried | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%±0 |
| 10 |  GrazerGrazer AK | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 28%±0 |
| 11 | SC RheindorfSC Rheindorf Altach | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%−1 pt |
| 12 | ViennaAustria Vienna | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.