Austrian Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 16 August 2026
LASK Linz lead the title race at 37%. Rapid Vienna 8–0 Grazer moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Rapid Vienna7%19%+12 pts
RB Salzburg18%22%+4 pts
Down
LASK Linz43%37%−6 pts
Sturm Graz27%21%−6 pts
Wolfsberger3%1%−2 pts
Rapid Vienna beat Grazer 8–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 7% to 19%. LASK Linz beat SV Josko Ried 4–1 at home, and their title chances fell from 43% to 37%. LASK Linz lead the title race at 37%.
Champions League
Up
- Rapid Vienna19%42%+23 pts
- RB Salzburg40%45%+5 pts
Down
- Sturm Graz53%44%−9 pts
- Wolfsberger9%2%−7 pts
- LASK Linz68%63%−5 pts
Rapid Vienna beat Grazer 8–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 19% to 42%. Sturm Graz beat SC Rheindorf 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 53% to 44%.
Relegation
Up
Grazer6%19%+13 pts
Swarovski Tirol19%31%+12 pts
TSV Hartberg8%13%+5 pts
Down
Austria Lustenau33%18%−15 pts
Vienna16%4%−12 pts
SV Josko Ried12%11%−1 pt
Grazer lost 8–0 at Rapid Vienna, and their relegation chances rose from 6% to 19%. Austria Lustenau beat Wolfsberger 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 33% to 18%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Rapid Vienna 8–0 Grazer moved the odds the most. Rapid Vienna beat Grazer 8–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 19% to 42%. Grazer lost 8–0 at Rapid Vienna, and their relegation chances rose from 6% to 19%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- LASK Linz
- RB Salzburg
- Sturm Graz
- Rapid Vienna
- Wolfsberger
Show as a table
| Round | LASK Linz | RB Salzburg | Sturm Graz | Rapid Vienna | Wolfsberger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 30% | 20% | 5% | 5% |
| 2 | 43% | 18% | 27% | 7% | 3% |
| 3 | 37% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna | 9 | 19%+12 pts | 42%+23 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 | LASK LinzLASK Linz | 9 | 37%−6 pts | 63%−5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | RB SalzburgRB Salzburg | 7 | 22%+4 pts | 45%+5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz | 7 | 21%−6 pts | 44%−9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | WolfsbergerWolfsberger | 4 | 1%−2 pts | 2%−7 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 6 | Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%−15 pts |
| 7 |  SC RheindorfSC Rheindorf Altach | 3 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−3 pts | 3%±0 |
| 8 | ViennaAustria Vienna | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 4%−12 pts |
| 9 | GrazerGrazer AK | 3 | <1%−1 pt | <1%−2 pts | 19%+13 pts |
| 10 | SV Josko RiedSV Josko Ried | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 11%−1 pt |
| 11 | Swarovski TirolWSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 31%+12 pts |
| 12 | TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 13%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.