Austrian Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 30 August 2026
LASK Linz lead the title race at 45%. Austria Lustenau 0–4 Swarovski Tirol moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
LASK Linz37%45%+8 pts
RB Salzburg22%27%+5 pts
Rapid Vienna19%23%+4 pts
Down
Sturm Graz21%5%−16 pts
Wolfsberger1%<1%−1 pt
LASK Linz beat SC Rheindorf 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 37% to 45%. Sturm Graz's title chances fell from 21% to 5%. LASK Linz lead the title race at 45%.
Champions League
Up
- RB Salzburg45%57%+12 pts
- LASK Linz63%73%+10 pts
- Rapid Vienna42%52%+10 pts
Down
- Sturm Graz44%16%−28 pts
- Wolfsberger2%1%−1 pt
Vienna1%<1%−1 pt
RB Salzburg beat Vienna 4–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 45% to 57%. Sturm Graz's Champions League chances fell from 44% to 16%.
Relegation
Up
Austria Lustenau18%34%+16 pts
Grazer19%28%+9 pts
SC Rheindorf3%10%+7 pts
Down
Swarovski Tirol31%8%−23 pts
TSV Hartberg13%3%−10 pts
SV Josko Ried11%10%−1 pt
Austria Lustenau's relegation chances rose from 18% to 34%. Swarovski Tirol won 4–0 at Austria Lustenau, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 8%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Austria Lustenau 0–4 Swarovski Tirol moved the odds the most. Austria Lustenau's relegation chances rose from 18% to 34%. Swarovski Tirol won 4–0 at Austria Lustenau, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 8%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- LASK Linz
- RB Salzburg
- Rapid Vienna
- Sturm Graz
- Wolfsberger
Show as a table
| Round | LASK Linz | RB Salzburg | Rapid Vienna | Sturm Graz | Wolfsberger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 30% | 5% | 20% | 5% |
| 2 | 43% | 18% | 7% | 27% | 3% |
| 3 | 37% | 22% | 19% | 21% | 1% |
| 4 | 45% | 27% | 23% | 5% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna | 12 | 23%+4 pts | 52%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | LASK LinzLASK Linz | 12 | 45%+8 pts | 73%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | RB SalzburgRB Salzburg | 10 | 27%+5 pts | 57%+12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz | 8 | 5%−16 pts | 16%−28 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 3%−10 pts |
| 6 | WolfsbergerWolfsberger | 5 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 2%±0 |
| 7 | Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 34%+16 pts |
| 8 | Swarovski TirolWSG Swarovski Tirol | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%−23 pts |
| 9 | SV Josko RiedSV Josko Ried | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%−1 pt |
| 10 | GrazerGrazer AK | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%+9 pts |
| 11 | SC RheindorfSC Rheindorf Altach | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 10%+7 pts |
| 12 | ViennaAustria Vienna | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.