Manchester City's chances of winning the Premier League 2026/27
- Title chance
- 20%
- Position
- 2nd
- 21 pts · 9 games
- Likely finish
- 1st–3rd
Manchester City are 2nd in the Premier League table with 21 points from 9 games.
Man City win the title in 20% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 1st–3rd (83% of seasons), averaging 75 points.
Title: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Arsenal1st · 24 pts61% - 2Manchester City2nd · 21 pts20%
- 3
Brighton & Hove Albion3rd · 19 pts17% - 4
Chelsea4th · 16 pts1% - 5
Liverpool5th · 15 pts<1% - 6
Brentford6th · 14 pts<1% - 7
Bournemouth8th · 12 pts<1% - 8
Aston Villa10th · 12 pts<1%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's title chancesMore on Man City
Frequently asked questions
What are Manchester City's chances of winning the Premier League?
Man City win the title in 20% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Manchester City are 2nd in the Premier League table with 21 points from 9 games.
Where will Manchester City finish?
Their likely finish is 1st–3rd (83% of seasons), averaging 75 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Premier League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.